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Bill Gates in HK
Former Microsoft Chief predicts touch and speech interaction with computers. By Edith Wu
14 Aug 2008

HONG KONG, 14 AUGUST 2008 – Bill Gates, chairman, co-founder and former head of Microsoft, has predicted that continual expansion of Internet services will provoke a revolution in software development.

During a visit to Hong Kong, Gates attended a forum on August 12 to celebrate the tenth anniversary of Microsoft Research Asia, the company’s regional research lab, which was founded in 1998 in Beijing, and has provided training for more than 2,000 interns from universities in the region.

This was Gate’s first official speech in public after he stepped down as Microsoft Chief Executive in July 2008 to move to a full-time philanthropist role at the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.

This digital icon discussed likely technology breakthroughs in the next decade with the presidents of three local universities — Paul Chu, of the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Lawrence Lau, of The Chinese University of Hong Kong, and Tsui Lap-chee of The University of Hong Kong.

Underestimated changes

Gates told the 1,600 academics, IT representative and students that software breakthroughs would approach faster than they imagined.

He said one significant innovation will be the Natural User Interface (NUI) which had been underestimated. In the future it will “encompass all the new interaction techniques”, such as touch and speech. He predicted extensive application of NUI in the robotics field, so that future robots can “drive cars, pick things up and understand visual scenes”.

“Breakthroughs in hardware are definitely happening, as are breakthroughs in software,” said Gates.

Software-driven world

Bill Gates at HK delivering Keynote AddressThe former Microsoft Chief maintained that programmes will drive every part of human life, with television and the Internet likely to fuse together. He said future televisions could all connect to the Internet, perform search functions, and locate videos using voice recognition.

“The devices that will be software-driven won’t stop at the personal computer, the full-screen device or the pocket-sized device, the phone. It will really be pervasive,” Gates said.

Microsoft Research Asia is currently conducting research on such televisions, where couch potatoes will key in search words with their remote controls, and the TV will search related videos using speech recognition technology. Users will also be able to customize channels with the search function.

Gates stressed that the Internet TV will only be part of the enormous change brought by technology within the next decade. “...the frontiers of software are constantly changing and that’s why this is an industry that’s so exciting,” he said.

Innovating for the better

Gates also shared his views on technology as solutions to global problems with university leaders, and stressed that innovations can change the world. He gave the example of the personal computer, describing it as “the best tool mankind ever created” when connected to the Internet, and said that many biological advances are achieved with the help of computers.

Chinese University of Hong Kong president, Lawrence Lau, highlighted the importance of the Internet in terms of knowledge distribution. He said access to broadband was crucial to overcoming poverty.

Two other local university leaders, Paul Chu and Tsui Lap-chee, agreed that properly managed technologies can solve global issues such as genetic diseases and even the energy shortage.

This trip is Gate’s first visit to Hong Kong in nine years. He had watched the Olympic Opening Ceremony before attending the forum in Hong Kong and meeting the city’s Chief Executive Donald Tsang.

Comments (20)

MattyWA says...
Hey Bill - how about simply innovating a version of your software that doesn't crash? Now that would be a great vision for the future.
25 Aug 2008 2:03pm
royboy says...
As someone who completely misjudged the impact of the internet, why would anyone give oxygen to any more of his predictions? Stick to what you do well Bill, giving away those ill-gotten squillions for good causes
25 Aug 2008 7:24pm
Matthew says...
royboy, When you become a billionaire, or trillionaire, we'll listen to your couched opinions on matters technological. Until then, stay in place with the rest of us who misjudged the internet. No one's perfect.
26 Aug 2008 11:06am
Mel says...
This guy got a hold of the home computer MSM (Main Stream Market)place early in the game by stealing from Apple who in turn had stolen from Xerox. He now sprouts that sometime in the future - we may be operating our computers via 'touch' and 'voice'. Oh goodness...where has he been? l have been talking to my computer - asking it to open my email programme when l have my hands full with a hot coffee, ordering my computer to 'next page' or 'close page' (especiallly ones with Gates comments on it) and dictating letters and the like through 'voice' command only, for some 'years' now. And 'touch'? - well, the keyboard has been there all along. My particular browser and far in advanced software, left Microsoft in the dust some years back. What the hell are you all still listening to him for?
26 Aug 2008 11:05am
Zain says...
Hey Bill, You are doing a terrific job as a philanthropist. So please stick to it. Please leave technology for people who understand it!
26 Aug 2008 4:17pm
random says...
Wow, everyone has such negative attitudes towards Bill! Seems most are accurate but none the less I'm sensing a lot of hating! lol
27 Aug 2008 10:32am
Venkat says...
I think people are making comments without really understanding the achievements of Bill. Try and see how hard it is to even manage few software professionals.
27 Aug 2008 11:50am
Jazza says...
Umm yeah amd a lot of unbelieveably stupid comments at that! Good one Zain - yeah - Bill Gates built the biggest software (or any?) company the world had ever seen and revolutionised computing by not understanding technology. Wise words indeed. Go back to your finger painting. I was gonna say Lego, but then I realised that would be too complex for you.
27 Aug 2008 4:20pm
Smurf says...
Yeah, I agree, what a ** Bill is, built a company from nothing with, initially, just his and a mate's brain power, revolutionised the way EVERYTHING is done in the world today and made a squillion dollars. Now instead of swanning around the world living it up on the Riveria and having a good time, he has the audacity to take his billions and attempt to rid the world of poverty, polio, malaria or whatever to save 1,000s of children in impoverished countries. Is there no end to this man's evil deeds.
27 Aug 2008 6:07pm
LB says...
Dear MattyWA You must be the first developer in the history of the planet who has written a piece of software without bugs. I get it, you managed to write Hello World and it worked perfectly. Good on you! Try something a little more difficult next time.
29 Aug 2008 11:04am
Helen says...
Has anyone ever tried to do something noone has ever done before ... for the very FIRST time ... searching around in the dark with nothing but your own convictions to guide you ... and succeeded like Bill Gates? I, for one, am thankful he persisted. Gates revolutionised the way we live. His legacy is immortal. And how dare anyone criticse him for trying to improve the lives of those less fortunate because he can!
29 Aug 2008 12:10pm
Umberto21 says...
Bill Gates seems to be foreseeing the past in his crystal ball, (to some of us anyway).. but he is somehow right in telling people that touch screens (especially multi touch) , and perhaps voice recognition will be the new "wave" of the future (in software/hardware). I can also play nostradamus : I predict that everyone will have a GPS in their pocket, that every car and human will be able to be located at any one time. I am guessing that people will also have thermometer, gyro, compass, reporting their current status LIVE. I predict a micro-ear, I predict the mouse that automatically follows your eyes (no more mouse). I also predict the end of this horrid dinosaur device : the QWERTY keyboard. This device was copied from type writers, dates back decades, has never been improved, is SLOW and painful to learn. Someone will come up with a replacement for the keyboard ;something visual, more human. (just lookup why it is organised "QWERTY" and you will understand) I predict that future softwares will be able to evaluate emotions (of the user or the emotion of a software), based on usage pattern. I also predict full live imagery of the entire planet : like a forever-updating version of VirtualEarth and StreetView. (this is the bit where you can actually see someone carrying their Gps live, see other prediction above) so yeah! invest in R&D. If you are a software developer : start coding, people!
29 Aug 2008 1:06pm
OJ says...
Bill Gates a revolutionary? Hardly. He and this company managed to do a deal with IBM, copied someone elses software and released it. It then took 10 years to release windows 95 (a windows based platform). A style of system which Apple had been using for at least 5 years previously. Since then what has microsoft done? Bought out other companies and tried to monopolise the industry. Please name me one thing Microsoft has invented? And now what he gives some money away.What a revolutionary
29 Aug 2008 1:25pm
Vish says...
guys.....now let's not start criticising Bill for the flaws in the Operating Systems over the years. This guys had a vision and pursued it, something which 90% of humans fail to do. So how about we admire for what he's done over the years rather than his failures. Good on ya Bill.....you've been great at revolutionising the world of computers over the years. I admire you.
29 Aug 2008 3:21pm
John says...
If .... unhappy or ...., here is the solution: DO NOT HEAR because you think you may say better DO NOT SEE because you can look further DO NOT KNOW because you already know DO NOT BUY because you have choice or you can make something bettet DO NOT USE because it useless or you got something better. DO NOT AND DO NOT ..... and ... the thing most important is YOU ARE BRIANT .....
01 Sep 2008 11:06am
Della D says...
I am interested to talk to Mel about his own software. I am in the middle of a few web based projects myself and would like to see what he has to offer. Contact me by email if you see this response. And in the mean time don't be sour mouthed. What ever Bill Gates is or is not, he atleast had a go and made a name for himself. Now it's your turn, so step up to the mark Mel and let's see what you've got to offer the IT world.
01 Sep 2008 11:03am
Ben says...
Microsoft has done more to stymie and set back the progress of computing during its reign than any other company, through its incredibly aggressive and predatory 'embrace, extend and extinguish' tactics. Bill Gates is a genius at marketing, promotion and business. He just happened to be in the software game, but on a very deep level he doesn't 'get' software. Microsoft is the McDonalds of the software business, and similarly McDonalds don't 'get' food. But they don't care or even need to 'get' it, because food is just their product. It's the system that builds their success, not the completely mediocre product itself. So congratulations, Bill. Spend that money on something good before Microsoft collapses under its own top-heavy weight.
01 Sep 2008 11:01am
Brett says...
Bill Gates emerged as the 20C most outstanding opportunist. Bill's time in the sun is well past. His appearence on the world stage is like an ex P.M. appearing on TV. All things considered it is best not done.
02 Sep 2008 11:07am
Mike says...
For those asking what if anything Microsoft has innovated, I believe that history will favor the concept of software licensing as their most important and enduring achievement. Prior to that, purchase of anything tangible implied a level of ownership. This all changed with the license model of asset distribution. You now pay money for limited permission to use something which isn't even guaranteed to work as advertised.
02 Sep 2008 1:46pm
Andrew says...
Whether you love or hate Microsoft or believe Gates is a visionary or not, the ultimate lessons here are: ownership, commercialisation and market share. Own (or control) the IP, even if someone else created it. Make it useful, even if its not perfect. And be #1 in your markets. Microsoft went from no where to being pervasive globally across virtually every demographic: country, government, industry, SMEs and individuals. To achieve this you need to be aggressive - perhaps even anti-competitive. And they've certainly put a lot of people off. But the game never ends. Google is on the march. So tune in next week for Episode 7: The Chrome Wars....
03 Sep 2008 11:34am

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